Colorado State vs Air Force 9/29/2012

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Air Force is a heavy favorite winning 83% of simulations over Colorado State. Connor Dietz is averaging 140 passing yards and 0.9 TDs per simulation and Cody Getz is projected for 83 rushing yards and a 76% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 17% of simulations where Colorado State wins, Garrett Grayson averages 1.95 TD passes vs 0.63 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.05 TDs to 0.83 interceptions. Chris Nwoke averages 59 rushing yards and 0.58 rushing TDs when Colorado State wins and 52 yards and 0.36 TDs in losses. Air Force has a 41% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 93% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is AF -14.5

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